(no subject)
May. 26th, 2010 09:25 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
I still feel like crying today. I don't know why. Michael is clearly non-brain-damaged this morning, although horribly sore and stiff. No more portions of the house fell in overnight. But I feel all emotional and weak-kneed.
Also, this morning I was thinking: we have a big three-story house. There are only four of us. What are the odds that, at the precise moment that a portion of the ceiling fell in, one of us would just happen to be underneath that exact portion? They've got to be astronomical.
Also, this morning I was thinking: we have a big three-story house. There are only four of us. What are the odds that, at the precise moment that a portion of the ceiling fell in, one of us would just happen to be underneath that exact portion? They've got to be astronomical.
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Date: 2010-05-26 02:34 pm (UTC)And yeah, it's pretty darn unlikely that what happened, happened, isn't it?
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Date: 2010-05-26 02:50 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-05-26 02:38 pm (UTC)It is pretty unlikely, yes - mostly when you see things like this it's all about the near-misses, I've rarely heard of anyone being actually hit unless they were asleep in bed at the time.
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Date: 2010-05-26 02:42 pm (UTC)And yes, it was a crazy high odds, though that suggests that there might have been some way in which it was on the edge and Michael's weight or movement ended up triggering it. I'm hoping they can find something wrong and verify that the remainder of the house doesn't have that problem.
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Date: 2010-05-26 06:05 pm (UTC)I hadn't realized the plaster could fall; I expected it to be just a cosmetic issue. I know better now, though. :)
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Date: 2010-05-26 07:36 pm (UTC)(I'm tempted to make some wisecrack about cosmetic issues, but it's probably still too early. Just accept my earnest good wishes for rapid healing.)
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Date: 2010-05-26 02:55 pm (UTC)I think that I can't really calculate the odds of Michael being under the exact portion of the ceiling that collapsed. Astronomical sounds like a good approximation, though.
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Date: 2010-05-26 03:03 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-05-26 03:33 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-05-26 03:50 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-05-26 04:07 pm (UTC)That happens after a tough situation like you had yesterday. It's normal.
As for the statistical odds, there are a lot of factors that would go into even a rough estimate. Y'all spend a LOT of time in that room. and that would surely factor into the calculation.
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Date: 2010-05-26 04:47 pm (UTC)The future
Date: 2010-05-26 05:05 pm (UTC)Best wishes!
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Date: 2010-05-26 05:32 pm (UTC)For that matter, Michael is not one of the Wicked Witches of Oz and there is really no reason for any of you to have expected a house to fall on him. Plus plus also and you were a Brave Little Toaster in the moment but the crisis past is over and you have feelings.
Gentle loving Good Thoughts from here on the left coast.
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Date: 2010-05-26 07:09 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-05-26 08:25 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-05-27 12:39 am (UTC)I also think that there is an adjustment period about mortality after you have kids. It's the realization that your KIDS are dependent on life not allowing, say, ceilings IN YOUR HOME to fall in on anyone. I had a cancer scare around when my son was 3 and I have never been so stressed about my own health because of that added dimension.
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Date: 2010-05-27 01:37 am (UTC)I'd be shaking, once my true love and my household was out of immediate danger, and all the ghosts of What Might Have been rose up.
I wish that, right now, there were somebody else to be the grownup for you and let you sit down and shake.
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Date: 2010-05-27 03:09 am (UTC)Oh, I don't know about that.
Let's make up some numbers. You have 2000 square feet of potential ceiling collapsing. It looked like about 10 square feet collapsed. There are four of you, and you're all in your house 1/2 of the time.
So that's 2000/10/4*2 = 100. One in 100. Feel free to plug in your own numbers -- and I completely ignored the complication of two people standing in the same spot -- for a more accurate answer, but it wont be astronomical.
What makes the whole event very very improbable is how often a chunk of ceiling falls down, which happens approximately never.
That being said, of course the whole idea is terrifying.
Be well.
B
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Date: 2010-05-27 03:38 am (UTC)